Greatest falsification ever?
(source)
«Техника и наука», 1982, № 7
The article was reprinted with accompanying commentary (
rus) with different title — «О достоверности древней истории» in № 2 of 1997 г. in «Математическое образование» magazine.
More than half a century ago N. Morozov, a honored academician, famous revolutioneer and "Peoples' will" party member have written an amazing book titled "History of mankind in the light of natural science" initially. In this book he has expounded his vast theory that was entirely revising traditional representation of The Ancient History of The Mankind. Morozov's basic thesis was that all our information about The Ancient World is unreliable and appears to be a fictional representation of some events of The Middle Ages. In order to support his theory, Morozov has brought up an entire series of striking parallelisms connecting Antique and The Middle Ages history, but he also didn't except a possibility of coincidences, that professional historians insisted. To figure out was Morozov correct or not, one had to find a system in these parallelisms and prove its statistical significance. Following my initiative, A. Fomenko and A. Mischenko, Doctors of Physics and Mathematics, have begun working on it a few years ago. The results they have got not just confirmed Morozov's hypothesis completely, but also allowed to concretize it significantly. In this article I'll try not just to expound newly found mathematically-statistical methods, but rather to tell about Morozov's basic conclusions supported by new methods.
-M. POSTNIKOV, Dr. of Phys. - Math. sciences, professor, Lenin prize laureate
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Unlike verities of mathematics, physics or geography that in principle anybody can check, statements of history doesn't allow direct experimental research. We cannot travel into the past and make sure that the information we've been told is valid. All the historical information is unavoidably secondary and mainly based on written witnesses, whose reliability has to be measured.
Historical document possesses any value only if it's authentical of course, in other words it doesn't appear to be a falsification produced by frivolous or unscrupulous descendants.
Fortunately, authenticity of the document bulk is self-evident in the majority of historical studies. This authenticity is based on continuity and mass character. For example, we're quite sure that Catherine II was Russian emperroress in the second half of XVIII century, that she's being followed by Pavel, that peasant uprising led by Yemelian Pugachev have happened during the Catherine's reign, etc., etc. That times' colossal number of documents whose authenticity is based by a continuous chain of documents referring to each other, that chain extending to our times makes these statements just as reliable as say a statement about the round shape of the Earth. However it's unclear who was Pavel's father already and the fact that he was Catherine's son is doubtful as well. There was a dispute about did Alexander I die in 1825 (so called "old man Kuzmich problem").
It is clear that the further we are going into the past, the sharper authenticity question gets. Things about antique documents are especially bad, because we haven't got a chain of sequential copies from The Antiquity till the printing machine stamping moment for even a single one of them. Furthermore, we've got the very last copies only (dated as old as IX-X centuries in the best case), whose prehistory is absolutely unknown.
For example, manuscript of Tacitus was delivered to its discoverer Poggio about 1425 by some unknown monk from some North German monastery: Poggio didn't tell anyone about the monk's name and monastery location. Cicero's rhetorical compositions were only known in excerpts until 1420 when Barcicca, a Milanese Cicero specialist has found its complete text in the town of Lodi. Lodi manuscript has vanished after copying (!).
Classical Greek writers are the same thing. Plato was actually unknown for humanists until 1482, when a Latin translation of his dialogues was published by Ficino. However, despite numerous demands coming from his friends and publishers Ficino hasn't shown Greek originals to anyone and after his death they disappeared without a trace.
Antique texts discovery circumstances are unknown even these days. For example, details of Aristotle's "Athenian polity" discovery in 1891 were hidden at the time, and still remain a mystery.