marnix quotes;
Part of what raises costs is, ironically enough, the discovery of new treatments. Back when all you could do was make a cancer patient comfortable, nobody expected their insurance company to pay for chemo therapy. Newer treatments quite often end up being more expensive than their predecessors, and insurance companies are expected to do "as much as it takes" to cure you.
Obviously the cost of diagnostics, treatments and medication are going to go up, as technology and science improves. When 'consumption' (cancer) was first diagnosed you simply made plans for your funeral and the million dollar treatments of today were not spent. On the other hand, when Polio became a problem, measles and hundreds of other medical problems prevailed, those cost resulted in 'No cost' or at least greatly reduced. I'll add these were the results of the private sector, some with Federal Grants, some NOT. Since we really do ALL die, all those reasons we DO die are not treatable cheaply and in most cases are adding hours, days or maybe a few years to the life.
Most insurance companies, limit treatments to known acceptable methods and try to leave experimental treatment out. Unfortunately folks with major problems, their families and friends couldn't care less if there experimental and one major reason many are now included and our cost have gone up.
I think I see where this is going. In the ideal, there would be a certain cost-benefit analysis. Statistically more likely problems (especially those for which there exists a family history) would be checked for in ways that are statistically reliable, but others not quite as much. This is probably what's happening in KaiPerm since they're a private business who's decision to increase access to checkups is genuinely driven by a desire to achieve something in their bottom line costs. A government HMO system would probably not be as reliable that way.
What my father wishes the government would do is bid everyone's risk management out to HMO's. KaiPerm would make a fortune off of that, and it would force all the other HMO's to start looking for ways to do like them, and keep costs down. Then it would become profitable for some companies to specialize too, like for example, a company might start focusing on the age 65-70 bracket, and becoming specialists at preventing and/or dealing efficiently with their most common maladies, so you'd end up changing providers when you hit age 65.
OK, lets take you comments and add my last comment on the last paragraph. If insurance Companies cannot control cost for the sake of popular demand or sentiment, how in the world could popularly elected officials. Whether handed off to a third entity or limits set by non medical economist (cost/efficiency analysis) the government will manage the outcome by regulation. There will be few limitations for any procedure and any attempt to, will result elections being based on anecdotal, subjective opinions of the Medical Health Care System. Think about it, the young verses the old, diabetics (overweight/obese) verses the health nuts (diet and exercise). I should insert the notion, the US Government really has no authority in the Health Care system to begin with, but that always creates separate argument...
What would happen with more volume is less per capita man hours being expended on any one patient. When you've got a large volume of people using any service, it becomes cost effective to start automating portions of the process that wouldn't have been automated otherwise.
First there is no room for additional access to health care today. Most Physicians with any specialty are already over booked, over worked and IMO underpaid. They already either have a staff for handling paper work (administrative) or pay a high price for out sourcing. Most claim, that doubling the allotted time would go a long way to (one of your augments) preventative care.
If you've only got 5 people going through your MRI per day, then you're not going to bother using assembly line tactics to deal with them. But, if you've got 500 per day, then it will probably get to be more like an assembly line. (They'll feel your company has lost the "personal touch", but you'll be paying less per person.)
For starters, a general MRI full scan, not looking for a specific problem, will take about an hour, preparation, cooling, clean up. The best your going to get is MAYBE 30 or so done in a 24 Hour period. For the best results you will have either qualified technicians or medical professional observing the scan in progress (to take pictures at correct moment), which in effect are not doing something else. I have not done a cost analysis on the program, but would bet that $30,000 revenue would be break even for the total cost involved. I don't understand the 'personal touch' since unlike in the 'House' Fox Production, MRI's are generally outsourced, no personal touch. Even where I live, the two MRI's available are independently owned, but were installed on Hospital grounds, the Physician can and often does set in...
The scan itself is painless. The whole procedure can take 15-40 minutes. It may be a little uncomfortable lying still on the couch for this time. Small children may need a general anaesthetic to keep them still long enough for the pictures to be taken. In some cases an injection of a special contrast dye is given into the bloodstream via a vein on the arm. This helps to give clearer pictures of certain tissues or organs being examined.
http://www.patient.co.uk/health/MRI-Scan.htm
Now on this comparison of Health Care to Industrial production, they are not the same. Most all products are produced to a minimal cost per unit and then to the limits of demand. That is a factory will produce a particular model vehicle in the most efficient manner, so many per hour off the end of an assembly line, to the limits of there estimated sales. If two factories are seen preferable over on running two shifts (transport cost) they will go that route or add a shift to the original and so forth. This is true whether Cereal or Airplanes or whatever. Now Health Care is not predictable or for that matter controllable. Most Hospitals for instance, run at 60-70% capacity, but maintain a staff for 100%, in part many used in Emergency rooms, today. An outbreak of something, a major accident or violent weather hits, the demands of the statistical expectations for usage are shot and this can happen anyplace, any time or they can drop to 30% capacity or less on any given day.
For non-insurance customers, they have to be competitive, though. The only way I can see a government system creating this kind of effect would be to bid out risk to HMO providers, instead of treatment. (Right now Medicare/aid bids only treatment, making it susceptible to the overpricing problem.) This seems to me like the only way to stop all the price gouging.
In short, medical cost would go down, or would have never gone up for other than inflation, if every person equally contributed into the system an indeterminable amount, from birth to some kind of general fund in the area they live, transferable accounts and from birth. Since this is pure fantasy and no person goes through life with the same medical problems or the same ability to pay that, what would be trivial amount it could never happen. Digest that! What is being suggested, being done in many places and partially already exist here in the US is that very same scenario, reversed, based on those that have achieved for those for whatever reason have not or could not and the basic problem, I have with this entire issue. Think about it, under the current plans, a person would pay no fine for not buying insurance in 2013 (the year it clicks in), 100.00 in 2014 and it does go up. This for not paying the estimated 8-10k$ (Family of four, with the Federal requirements for what to cover) policy (or the cheaper Government Option when it does come into the picture) and at any time that person or member of his family does become chronically ill, can join and will be covered. That is the doctor diagnoses a problems and estimated cost are easily figured, you take on the 10k$ cost to cover you 200k problem, if cured could then drop out again and pay the cheaper fine. Said another way, it must lead to single payer, government controlled HC.