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Thread: Earthquake prediction: True or Not ?

  1. #1 Earthquake prediction: True or Not ? 
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    Well, articles are showing up these days on internet regarding Earthquake Predictions in the World. All i know is nobody can't predict earthquakes ... but ...

    w w w . world-earthquakes.com / index.php?option=ethq_prediction

    Is this really true or not ? I'm scratching my head right now and it is something totally new for me ...

    P.S. Sorry, i couldnt put the link in the link-format.


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  3. #2  
    Genius Duck Moderator Dywyddyr's Avatar
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    You should have tried reading what it says:

    OUR MATHEMATICAL ALGORITHMS CAN NOT PREDICT EXACT TIME, LOCATION OR MAGNITUDE OF AN EARTHQUAKE. THERE IS NO KNOWLEDGE OF SUCH THING TO DO THAT. THE DATA IN THE TABLES BELOW ARE ONLY BASED ON STATISTICS OF OLD AND CURRENT EARTHQUAKES WHICH CAN NOT GIVE AN ACCURATE PREDICTION. THIS IS JUST A STATISTICAL ESTIMATION USING DATA SERIES OF THE PAST AND PRESENT EARTHQUAKES.


    "[Dywyddyr] makes a grumpy bastard like me seem like a happy go lucky scamp" - PhDemon
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  4. #3  
    Bullshit Intolerant PhDemon's Avatar
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    As it says in big red letters at the top of the page you have linked to:

    DISCLAIMER: BEFORE YOU READ THIS SECTION, PLEASE PAY
    A LOT OF ATTENTION TO THE FOLLOWING:


    OUR MATHEMATICAL ALGORITHMS CAN
    NOT PREDICT EXACT TIME, LOCATION OR MAGNITUDE OF AN EARTHQUAKE. THERE IS
    NO KNOWLEDGE OF SUCH THING TO DO THAT. THE DATA IN THE TABLES BELOW ARE ONLY
    BASED ON STATISTICS OF OLD AND CURRENT EARTHQUAKES WHICH CAN NOT GIVE AN
    ACCURATE PREDICTION. THIS IS JUST A STATISTICAL ESTIMATION USING DATA
    SERIES OF THE PAST AND PRESENT EARTHQUAKES.

    PLEASE BE VERY CAREFUL HOW
    YOU INTERPRET THE DATA FROM THE TABLES BELOW. WE ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR THOSE
    WHO MISINTERPRET THE DATA PRESENTED BELOW IN THE NEWSPAPERS, ONLINE SITES,
    ONLINE BLOGS OR ANY OTHER SOURCES (ONLINE OR OFFLINE) AVAILABLE TO THE PUBLIC. "
    I think that answers your question...
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  5. #4  
    Forum Professor astromark's Avatar
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    In NZ we have a history of earthquakes. A number of people have attempted to link events as such. ( Including me.) Lunar perigee and the approximate timing of King tides. Knowing that the Earths crust is constantly under stress. The answer is a big fat disappointing NO. We do not know where or when and all the kings horses and all the... Oh Oops wrong rhyme.. The fact remains as a unproven likelihood. A local author Ken Ring got himself into a spot of bother when he made such a prediction and nothing happened. He was more than 14 days out of sink with a new moon / perigee. His local knowledge of weather and lunar cycles seems to not match earthquake prediction. I will ignore any argument. Show me the science is my fall back position.
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