recently, it seems that the global climate models(GCMs) are not capable of accurately reflecting field data.
most recently i read from : http://web.mit.edu/jlcohen/www/papers/Cohenetal2009.pdf
their "... the GCMs predict that winter will experience the greatest warming because of a positive feedback of increased GHGs and a diminished & darker cryosphere...however...recent winters 2000/1 to present have been...about the severity of winter and record snowfalls. Most notably Jan. 2008 was the coldest for the NH landmasses in the past 1/4 century, and the snowiest on record, ..."
coupled with the lake E data "which would not fit within any computer climate models"
I wonder---just how far off these models are, and why so much is based on their projections.
The findings from Cohen et. al. (link above) provide information into an unforseen dampening system by the earth shunting some of it's atmospheric warming from the troposphere to the polar stratospheres. (disrupting the polar vortex, and sending the NH landmasses into colder and snowier winters) (relly counterintuitive to the concept of "global warming")
It seems that the GCMs are about as accurate as old maps showing one uninterrupted ocean from the eastern shores of Japan, to the western shores of Portugal.
Have any of you read anything about anyone reworking the GCMs?
Or just throwing the silly nonsense out and starting over?
is it even possible to factor in currently known data, and still have a workable model with small error bands?