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Thread: The future of Technology!!!!!! What do u think? :idea:

  1. #1 The future of Technology!!!!!! What do u think? :idea: 
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    ok, this is my first newtopic so here it goes....i love to think about what the world will look like 100 years from now....does anyone else do this?!?!?! Imagine...if you look at 1950 and today....you can tell a significant change....so i tihnk that the more technology we get....the faster we advanced....who agreas?


    If the human brain only uses 2-7% of its brain....then what does the other 90% do..or what can it do?
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  3. #2  
    Forum Professor Pendragon's Avatar
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    Or the more technology we have, the harder it will be to advance any further. It's conceptually quite easy to go from the steam engine to the train, but it's a lot harder to go beyond magnetic trains


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    possibly tecnolagy will jump, but in the next ten years to somehting that will send it right back.....
    Stumble on through life.
    Feel free to correct any false information, which unknown to me, may be included in my posts. (also - let this be a disclaimer)
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    The rate of innovation has been dropping continually since about 1950. This is well documented.

    Simultaneously, the rate of adoption of new innovation has been accelerating. Also well documented.

    What does this mean?
    Innovations are the introduction of new ideas, goods, services, and practices which give something people want (i.e., can be sold in a capitalist economy).

    The number of innovations/year is declining, largely because many new things economically practical to sell for a profit has been done already, and government/industrial R&D funding in the US has declined significantly. Further advancements cost big $$, and require bigger science/engineering to solve, and coupled with the lack of R&D investment, the result is that the innovation rate slows. In addition, silly crap such as societal paranoia of radiation, bio-engineered food, biotechnology, cloning, nanotechnology and the rise of anti-scientific thinking (creationism, ID'ism, paranormal, fringe-medicine such as holistics and herbology, rejection of evolution), coupled with declining college education enrollment by American citizens in science and engineering has been negatively impacting the rate of innovation.

    However at the same time, when there are new innovations, they are being adopted more and more rapidly into society. Examples are cellphones, new plastics for car bumpers, airbags, new surgical equipment and new food packaging materials.
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    Quote Originally Posted by silylene
    The rate of innovation has been dropping continually since about 1950. This is well documented.
    !!!! Really!! I would like to see some of this documentation. I do not say you are mistaken, I just find this a remarkable statement and one which could hinge very much on how one defines innovation.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ophiolite
    Quote Originally Posted by silylene
    The rate of innovation has been dropping continually since about 1950. This is well documented.
    !!!! Really!! I would like to see some of this documentation. I do not say you are mistaken, I just find this a remarkable statement and one which could hinge very much on how one defines innovation.
    I think he's correct. If you think about it try and come up with a new idea today, now put yourself in the 50's knowing what you know now, you would never run out of ideas. It's like trying to come up with an original song, all the beats have been used over and over. Today's technology is just slight variations of existing technology, hardly an innovation.
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    Let me be more direct. Utter, total, complete, comprehensive, thorough, umitigated nonsense.
    I am not clear whether you are both talking techology or basic science (I just re-read Silyene's post and I see he is referencing technology), but on both fronts you could not be more wrong. This is reminiscent of the head of the US Patents office at the end of the 19th century who declared there would soon be no need for the institution as almost everything had been invented.
    I do not wish to give offense, but this is the kind of moribund thinking I expect to see displayed by those in their fifties and sixties who didn't have much imagination in the first place. Please provide some evidence to support this contention, that runs quite counter to observation and personal experience.
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  9. #8  
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    Like Guglielmo Marconi. He used 18 of Nicola Tesla's inventions to send a radio transition across the Atlantic ocean. Then the patent for radio went to Tesla in the 1970’s because Marconi was soowing the U.S. for using radio without his permission in wwII
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    But still, the improvement of existing technologies is also an important form of innovation. Just look at the advancement of computer tech, during the 90s this really went exponential (it was nearly exactly exponential for ram-memory, which kept doubling in equal periods). And some inventions are just more important then others. Helicopters and hoovercrafts are nice, but the internet has a far bigger impact on people's lifes.

    So I wouldn't be surprised if the number of completely new idea's is declining, but the improvement of existing inventions is still going strong. And maybe this is much more important, coupled with the spread of existing technology as Silylene mentioned. It's cool to have some experimental new machine in a lab, but it really starts to benefit people when it has become usable and affordable. And that's exactly what's happening at the moment.
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    The next hundred years?

    Innovation is part of the human condition.
    As long as there is a place in which it can be nurtured and respected, we will always find new and inventive ways of destroying ourselves.
    .
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    Cogito, ergo doleo.

    There's a fine line between genius and insanity. I have erased this line.
    Oscar Levant
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    I always have these random daydreams about human robots. That would be totally awesome, don't you think?
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  13. #12  
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    Quote Originally Posted by jibblin
    If the human brain only uses 2-7% of its brain....then what does the other 90% do..or what can it do?
    What utter garbage!!!!

    If this were true President Kennedy would have been sent home with a packet of aspirin!!


    To anyone who subscribes to this particular fancy I ask "Which 2% are you operating in?"
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    Effect need a cause. Rapid advancement in innovation and technology during 1950 were due to Post World War Rehabilations in order to prove the world that "we are the winner". Unless such necessity exists, I don't think there will be much technological advancement in the next hundred years.

    On the other hand, the cause need not be the same always. The humans thirst to explore space to colonize moon, mars and solar system thereby, needs lot of innovation and technological advancements. I think scientists and engineers will concentrate on space technology advancements, atleast for several centuries from now on.
    K. Srinivasa Ramanujam
    M.S (by Research) Scholar,
    http://ramanujamblog.blogspot.com
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    I expect the development on the theory part to contribute more new technologies. but it seems except the bio field, other disciplines are almost doing the application research. as we can see, ohm's law, KCL, KVL are still the base theory. it is good for me because easy to learn and apply, but don't know whether it is a good phenomenon for new technologies' development. i hopemore great men like Einstan and Plank will be born in the future. :P
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  16. #15  
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    Just something I thought I would add: I believe patents currently hinder innovation greatly. It's so easy to infringe on some obscure patent that no one is going to use. I you find a great application for a patented 'thing' then you can't easily progress with it.

    In 100 years I'm hoping for a centralized form of transportation, such as tracked vehicles therefore eliminating traffic to an extent. Though I don't see this happening very easily, especially somewhere like the U.S.A. where everyone is more worried about complete freedom of movement more than efficiency, which I agree with to an extent. Hopefully we will get our flying car by then :wink:.
    WHAT?!
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