Thread: Earth Quake Prediction

I was watching on TV about attempts to predict earthquakes. There were two methods that seemed to have good results, althought this sort of thing is still in its infancy.
One guy made a correlation with solar and lunar eclipses and the timing of earthquakes. Earth quakes, he observed, happened within a couple of months, more or less, of the time of a total solar or total lunar eclipse. The solar eclipse gave a higher probability.
Well we have just had a total lunar eclipse and this month there was a major 7.2 earth quake near Japan and another earth quake in peru.
This Japan earthquake indicates that the pacific plate is active. Based on these ideas, I'll predict another large earthquake, in california or north of there within the next 2 months. [I have seen it before that a california earthquake followed one in Japan; - and we have just had a total eclipse of the moon.]
Another guy on TV showed a correlation between earthquakes and unusual white puffy cloud formations appearing over the fault line, within a short time, maybe 48 hours more or less, of an earthquake in that region near those clouds. Shortly before an earthquake, that is on land, lots of water vapor comes out of the fault line and condenses to form clouds.
So, watch for such cloud formations over the faultlines in california and if you see that, then an earthquake is iminent in that area.
[They said also on TV that they are expecting a major earth quake at some future time in the region around San Francisco. There is supposed to be a lot of strain built up there between the plates and according to the historical cycle, San Francisco is over due for a big earthquake.]

So, let's wait and see if this happens or not.

Here's an article about the clouds. The figures are compelling though as a meteorologist it's hard to completely rule out other causes without knowing more about the particular conditions.

http://quake.exit.com/A991003.html

I might also be hard to recognize these from the ground.

Originally Posted by ghost7584

I was watching on TV about attempts to predict earthquakes. There were two methods that seemed to have good results, althought this sort of thing is still in its infancy.
One guy made a correlation with solar and lunar eclipses and the timing of earthquakes. Earth quakes, he observed, happened within a couple of months, more or less, of the time of a total solar or total lunar eclipse. The solar eclipse gave a higher probability.
Well we have just had a total lunar eclipse and this month there was a major 7.2 earth quake near Japan and another earth quake in peru.
This Japan earthquake indicates that the pacific plate is active. Based on these ideas, I'll predict another large earthquake, in california or north of there within the next 2 months. [I have seen it before that a california earthquake followed one in Japan; - and we have just had a total eclipse of the moon.]
Another guy on TV showed a correlation between earthquakes and unusual white puffy cloud formations appearing over the fault line, within a short time, maybe 48 hours more or less, of an earthquake in that region near those clouds. Shortly before an earthquake, that is on land, lots of water vapor comes out of the fault line and condenses to form clouds.
So, watch for such cloud formations over the faultlines in california and if you see that, then an earthquake is iminent in that area.
[They said also on TV that they are expecting a major earth quake at some future time in the region around San Francisco. There is supposed to be a lot of strain built up there between the plates and according to the historical cycle, San Francisco is over due for a big earthquake.]

So, let's wait and see if this happens or not.

Yeah, it's that weird (name's Weyl or Meyl) german physics professor. He is quite frankly talking out of his ass. He also assumes that the moon focusses Neutrinos during solar eclipses that in turn get absorbed by the earth's core which in turn then make the earth expand
Just because some solar or lunar eclipses correlate with some major earthquakes does not mean they are causing them. Simply take a list of all earthquakes with a magnitude of - let's say for convenience' sake - 6.5 and above (and the recordings date back a couple of centuries, at least for the REALLY BIG BOOOOOMS) and see how that correlates with eclipses. And you will find there is no statistically significant correlation. This is simply some kind of preferred filtering by the guy who makes this claim. We humans have the tendency to find patterns where there are none. Some evolutionary leftover. That's why we have statistics.

I do not know about the cloud formation (and quite frankly I'd go for the number and size of clouds rather than their shape) there might be some gas-releasing processes just before quakes and those gasses might act as some cristallizytion-cores for the water vapour arund a fault line, but again....where does this theory go when you find a lot of quakes without any cloud formation??
And for the prediction of a quake in the Bay Area....you can hardly be wrong about that, especially if you take a look at the time-intervalls between major earthquakes there. The Big One is overdue.