Thread: World science earthquake predictions-new

In YouTube : BOYKOILIEV2008
Check out these forecasts for:
1. Costa Rica on the 9th of January 2009 ( 1 day mistake )
2. Italy on the 4th and 19th of April 2009 ( 1 day mistake )
3. Afghanistan on the 17th of April 2009 ( without mistake )
4. Bulgaria on the 7th of April 2009 ( 1 day mistake )
5. Mexico on the 28th of April 2009 ( 1 day mistake )
The next earthquakes in Romania there will be on the 3th and 16th of May 2009.
Waiting a strong earthquake near Macedonia Begin of August 2009.
Theory:
The plate tectonic NOT makes the earthquakes. The moon makes the earthquakes as raising the earth crust.
email: tornadobgi@abv.bg
Boyko Iliev
/ Consultant by earthquakes in the Bulgarian television bTV, "Seismograph" /

Originally Posted by Richter

The plate tectonic NOT makes the earthquakes. The moon makes the earthquakes as raising the earth crust.

why should the 2 be mutually exclusive ? it's a well-known fact that tidal action by the moon flexes the earth's crust, and this could just be the trigger to release the tensions of 2 plates that grind against one another

I would say the moon would add extra tension between two bordering plates and maybe even trigger an earthquake but the original energy for the earthquake to trigger was stored by plate techtonics.

It would be interesting though to know what effect the moon has on things like plate movements or even magma currents, its something left out in plate techtonics that i did in school

Originally Posted by NoLeafClover

I would say the moon would add extra tension between two bordering plates and maybe even trigger an earthquake but the original energy for the earthquake to trigger was stored by plate techtonics.

It would be interesting though to know what effect the moon has on things like plate movements or even magma currents, its something left out in plate techtonics that i did in school

Gee whiz, NoLeaf, and marnixK, what do you two want? Egg in your beer?

Mister Richter has already exposed himself to witch burning when he predicted that there will be be earthquakes in Romania on the 3th and 16th of May 2009.

Can't you two wait to burn at the stake?

surely it's a bit early to start talking about witch hunting ?
i'm just trying to establish what Richter's exact stance on the issue is, and why he thinks that moon tides and tectonics should be mutually exclusive

i must say i don't find anything wrong per se with the idea that moon tides may make earthquakes more likely, although i would like to know what makes particular times of the lunar cycle more likely to cause them than others - after all, a high tide happens twice a month, so why would it be that an earthquake prediction is set for august and not several weeks earlier or later ?

The combined influence of lunar and solar forcing would be one difference between the tides within a month. There are also some full moon which happen when the moon is particularly close, as well as during perihelion(December tides) when earth is closest to the Sun. Once in a while all these are combined, and I presume this is when according the hypothesis we'd be most vulnerable to associated earth quakes.

Originally Posted by milum

Originally Posted by NoLeafClover

I would say the moon would add extra tension between two bordering plates and maybe even trigger an earthquake but the original energy for the earthquake to trigger was stored by plate techtonics.

It would be interesting though to know what effect the moon has on things like plate movements or even magma currents, its something left out in plate techtonics that i did in school

Gee whiz, NoLeaf, and marnixK, what do you two want? Egg in your beer?

Mister Richter has already exposed himself to witch burning when he predicted that there will be be earthquakes in Romania on the 3th and 16th of May 2009.

Can't you two wait to burn at the stake?

I found his post although short quite interesting, i think he raises a valid point about the moon and it may be something that is overlooked in PT.

The only thing i found fault with is him saying that Plate Techtonics doesn't cause earthquakes. Or was he saying that it doesn't cause these predicted earthquakes? Obviously he must have a method for his predictions, maybe more information on this Richter?

More than one study was made in the past looking for correlations between lunar tides and earthquakes. The conclusion was that there was no detectable correlation. Recently I read of a study published within the last year or two (possibly the last month or two) which had examined more data with more sophisticated statistical methods. This study did reveal a small correlation. I shall try to locate this study and post the abstract here.

Nevertheless, as pointed out by several others here, the tidal effect is likely to be that of a trigger, not an underlying cause.

just had a look at Richter's previous posts - there's 3 about a year ago - and at no point does he enter in any discussion beyond "here's the website" and "i can predict earthquakes"

in fact, his latest post appears to be longer + more detailed than any of his earlier ones, but unfortunately no further discussion of the how or why, so we're really none the wiser

Originally Posted by John Galt

More than one study was made in the past looking for correlations between lunar tides and earthquakes. The conclusion was that there was no detectable correlation. Recently I read of a study published within the last year or two (possibly the last month or two) which had examined more data with more sophisticated statistical methods. This study did reveal a small correlation. I shall try to locate this study and post the abstract here.

Nevertheless, as pointed out by several others here, the tidal effect is likely to be that of a trigger, not an underlying cause.

Hi, I am Richter. I am predicted the earthquakes from 1995. This is my HOBBY. I am predicted earthquakes in the Bulgarian newspapers and now I am consultant by earthquakes in the Bulgarian television bTV, "Seismograph".
GSM: 359 2 0895 324 888
email: tornadobgi@abv.bg
Thank you.

Originally Posted by Richter

Originally Posted by John Galt

More than one study was made in the past looking for correlations between lunar tides and earthquakes. The conclusion was that there was no detectable correlation. Recently I read of a study published within the last year or two (possibly the last month or two) which had examined more data with more sophisticated statistical methods. This study did reveal a small correlation. I shall try to locate this study and post the abstract here.

Nevertheless, as pointed out by several others here, the tidal effect is likely to be that of a trigger, not an underlying cause.

Hi, I am Richter. I am predicted the earthquakes from 1995. This is my HOBBY. I am predicted earthquakes in the Bulgarian newspapers and now I am consultant by earthquakes in the Bulgarian television bTV, "Seismograph".
GSM: 359 2 0895 324 888
email: tornadobgi@abv.bg
Thank you.

Not earthquake in Romania on the 3th of May 2009, but happend earthquake in Bulgarian today 4th of May 2009, 90 km. near Sofia.

And clearly this earthquake was smaller than magnitude 4.5, which means it wasn't much more powerful than dropping the groceries on your toe. I am not convinced.

Originally Posted by Richter

Originally Posted by Richter

Originally Posted by John Galt

More than one study was made in the past looking for correlations between lunar tides and earthquakes. The conclusion was that there was no detectable correlation. Recently I read of a study published within the last year or two (possibly the last month or two) which had examined more data with more sophisticated statistical methods. This study did reveal a small correlation. I shall try to locate this study and post the abstract here.

Nevertheless, as pointed out by several others here, the tidal effect is likely to be that of a trigger, not an underlying cause.

Hi, I am Richter. I am predicted the earthquakes from 1995. This is my HOBBY. I am predicted earthquakes in the Bulgarian newspapers and now I am consultant by earthquakes in the Bulgarian television bTV, "Seismograph".
GSM: 359 2 0895 324 888
email: tornadobgi@abv.bg
Thank you.

Not earthquake in Romania on the 3th of May 2009, but happend earthquake in Bulgarian today 4th of May 2009, 90 km. near Sofia.

I don't think this proves anything.. u probably even know that yourself but don't want to admit defeat

My guess is that if an earthquake didn't happen somewhere that could be classified as near romania you wouldn't have posted again, and if your making precise predictions (i.e. date, area) you can't afford for them to be of can you? Least both of them being wrong, your just kind of lucky an earthquake happened at all.. but i would love for you to show how you at least calculated this, maybe you can prove me wrong. You are the expert not me after all :wink:

Originally Posted by John Galt

And clearly this earthquake was smaller than magnitude 4.5, which means it wasn't much more powerful than dropping the groceries on your toe. I am not convinced.

Well what the hell, Galt, the guy predicted an earthquake near where he said the Earth would quake, and mathematically that perks up my ears.

Let's me and you say, for example, that magnitude 3.5 Earthquakes occur in Rumania and nearby Bulgarria three or four times a year. Great! Me and you become rich. We bet on Richter's earthquakes predictions and we will win at roulette even on crooked tables.

Later we will beome richer and will begin to whore around and get drunk and lose all our winnings. Then we will become low life lawyers and straight-laced thinkers like the former John Galt.

Life is strange not to mention life that is make believe.

Originally Posted by milum

Originally Posted by John Galt

And clearly this earthquake was smaller than magnitude 4.5, which means it wasn't much more powerful than dropping the groceries on your toe. I am not convinced.

Well what the hell, Galt, the guy predicted an earthquake near where he said the Earth would quake, and mathematically that perks up my ears.

Let's me and you say, for example, that magnitude 3.5 Earthquakes occur in Rumania and nearby Bulgarria three or four times a year. Great! Me and you become rich. We bet on Richter's earthquakes predictions and we will win at roulette even on crooked tables.

Later we will beome richer and will begin to whore around and get drunk and lose all our winnings. Then we will become low life lawyers and straight-laced thinkers like the former John Galt.

Life is strange not to mention life that is make believe.

From Richter:
The date 3th of May 2009 for Romania is low probabiliti. The date 16th of May 2009 is more probabiliti for Romania. This is I am told in Bulgarian television bTV.
I am wait the earthquake in Romania. But on the 1st of May

Originally Posted by Richter

Well what the hell, Galt, the guy predicted an earthquake near where he said the Earth would quake, and mathematically that perks up my ears.

Seychelles. June15th.

Originally Posted by Richter

Originally Posted by milum

Originally Posted by John Galt

And clearly this earthquake was smaller than magnitude 4.5, which means it wasn't much more powerful than dropping the groceries on your toe. I am not convinced.

Well what the hell, Galt, the guy predicted an earthquake near where he said the Earth would quake, and mathematically that perks up my ears.

Let's me and you say, for example, that magnitude 3.5 Earthquakes occur in Rumania and nearby Bulgarria three or four times a year. Great! Me and you become rich. We bet on Richter's earthquakes predictions and we will win at roulette even on crooked tables.

Later we will beome richer and will begin to whore around and get drunk and lose all our winnings. Then we will become low life lawyers and straight-laced thinkers like the former John Galt.

Life is strange not to mention life that is make believe.

From Richter:
The date 3th of May 2009 for Romania is low probabiliti. The date 16th of May 2009 is more probabiliti for Romania. This is I am told in Bulgarian television bTV.
I am wait the earthquake in Romania. But on the 1st of May

Did you all see forecasts for costa rica-panama on the 8th of May 2009?
Did you see forecast for Macedonia on the 6th of May 2009?
See what earthquake happened on the 6th of August 2009.

I am the KING of the earthquakes.

at least now i'll know who to blame if ever there's an earthquake in Cardiff

Originally Posted by Richter

Originally Posted by milum

Originally Posted by John Galt

And clearly this earthquake was smaller than magnitude 4.5, which means it wasn't much more powerful than dropping the groceries on your toe. I am not convinced.

Well what the hell, Galt, the guy predicted an earthquake near where he said the Earth would quake, and mathematically that perks up my ears.

Let's me and you say, for example, that magnitude 3.5 Earthquakes occur in Rumania and nearby Bulgarria three or four times a year. Great! Me and you become rich. We bet on Richter's earthquakes predictions and we will win at roulette even on crooked tables.

Later we will beome richer and will begin to whore around and get drunk and lose all our winnings. Then we will become low life lawyers and straight-laced thinkers like the former John Galt.

Life is strange not to mention life that is make believe.

From Richter:
The date 3th of May 2009 for Romania is low probabiliti. The date 16th of May 2009 is more probabiliti for Romania. This is I am told in Bulgarian television bTV.
I am wait the earthquake in Romania. But on the 1st of May

Did you see forecast for Equador on the 10th of May 2009?
Without mistake.

why is it that i only see the forecast after the earthquake has happened ?

Originally Posted by marnixR

why is it that i only see the forecast after the earthquake has happened ?

Interesting thought, the op would be more believable if the posted these predictions prior to the actual events.

Also how much ocean floor does Ecuador actually own?

The Sunday quake was located "in the Pacific Ocean 599 kilometres west of the port city of Portoviejo"

600km west of the country falls into international waters doesn't it?

with sufficient vagueness as to what counts as an earthquake (minimum of 3, 3.5, 4, ... on the richter scale ?), its position (a radius of 600 kilometres ?) and its timing (give or take a few days) it's pretty hard to miss predicting just about anything

Originally Posted by marnixR

with sufficient vagueness as to what counts as an earthquake (minimum of 3, 3.5, 4, ... on the richter scale ?), its position (a radius of 600 kilometres ?) and its timing (give or take a few days) it's pretty hard to miss predicting just about anything

Yeahbut, marnixR, that is not to say that Richter did not make a proper prediction.
Now take the boys over at the school of Global Warm...I mean...uh, Climate Change. Like Mister Richter they believe their delusions but unlike Richter they adapt their premisses semantically to provide proper holocaust to a fast cooling World.

I tell you, MarnixR, these global warming transvestites are snakes.

if a prediction is sufficiently vague so that just about anything will fit, then it's not much of a prediction is it ? a bit like astrology more like

as far as global warming / climate change predictions are concerned, this thread is about earthquake prediction, so if you want to discuss global warming, either tag it to the existing global warming thread (it's been unstickied, so it may have sank down a bit in the listings) or start your own

Originally Posted by marnixR

if a prediction is sufficiently vague so that just about anything will fit, then it's not much of a prediction is it ? a bit like astrology more like

as far as global warming / climate change predictions are concerned, this thread is about earthquake prediction, so if you want to discuss global warming, either tag it to the existing global warming thread (it's been unstickied, so it may have sank down a bit in the listings) or start your own

As you wish, marnixR, but if you can analogize "astrology" why can't I analogize "global warming"?

But you the boss, so I'll go start a topical thread of my own.