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Thread: How Optimism Distorts The Future

  1. #1 How Optimism Distorts The Future 
    AI's Have More Fun Bad Robot's Avatar
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    How Optimism Distorts The Future | Moments of Genius | Big Think

    This is a very good article, and I've said all along that most people have unrealistic optimism, especially on this forum. It's going to be the death of us all.


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    Genius Duck Moderator Dywyddyr's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bad Robot View Post
    It's going to be the death of us all.
    That's an unreasonably optimistic view,


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    Quote Originally Posted by Dywyddyr View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Bad Robot View Post
    It's going to be the death of us all.
    That's an unreasonably optimistic view,
    Yeah! There might be some unhappy suffering survivors to argue the point.
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    Genius Duck Moderator Dywyddyr's Avatar
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    That article had something else, possibly more directly relevant to this forum, to say, too:
    In general, the easier it is to process something the more favorable we judge it.

    Explains a number of cranks...
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dywyddyr View Post
    That article had something else, possibly more directly relevant to this forum, to say, too:
    In general, the easier it is to process something the more favorable we judge it.

    Explains a number of cranks...
    I noticed that, but had to wonder if having trouble processing things has the opposite effect?
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    Genius Duck Moderator Dywyddyr's Avatar
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    Well that's the cranks, isn't it?
    It's too difficult for me, therefore it's wrong.
    How many threads have we had where the OP's claim is that "science has lost its way", "science makes thing unnecessarily complicated" and that "my new theory makes everything simple, as it should be"?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dywyddyr View Post
    Well that's the cranks, isn't it?
    It's too difficult for me, therefore it's wrong.
    How many threads have we had where the OP's claim is that "science has lost its way", "science makes thing unnecessarily complicated" and that "my new theory makes everything simple, as it should be"?
    Scientists get paid the big bucks to simplify reality for the rest of us. Maybe that explains why there's so much unrealistic optimism. But sometimes they take a long time with the simplification process and those of us that just can't wait for that process to run it's course, well we feel the urge to crank it a little.
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    Quote Originally Posted by PhDemon View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Bad Robot View Post

    Scientists get paid the big bucks
    Not true in my experience - university pay grades aren't the best
    I was hoping my mild sarcasm would be a bit humorous. The best scientists are never in it for the money, but the Nobel prize is always a very welcome experience.
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    Quote Originally Posted by PhDemon View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Bad Robot View Post

    Scientists get paid the big bucks
    Not true in my experience - university pay grades aren't the best
    Yeah, I was going to say...

    I could have taken my geology studies into big oil or something. Those guys get paid in gold-pressed latinum. I'm just glad I'm not eating out of trash cans.

    Scientists do what they do out of a love for knowledge and exploration. If you want to make money, learn to rap or something.
    "Sometimes I think the surest sign that intelligent life exists elsewhere in the universe is that none of it has tried to contact us." -Calvin
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